jcmanson wrote:The chance that we play Davidson is definitely greater than 0%, but I don't think it's as high as a few of us on here think it is.
Good summation. Reggie has good points as well. It's a made-for-TV event, but it also has a purpose in regards to pairing highly ranked mid-majors. Liberty-Davidson will be very attractive if Liberty is 9-0 or at worst 8-1 in league play at the time the pairings are announced. That's not out of the realm of possibility, but there are trips to Winthrop (where LU hasn't won in several years), Presby (who has been very tough at home), High Point (where LU traditionally doesn't play well) and VMI.
Say LU is 8-1 in the Big South and 18-5 overall Jan. 31. Then I could see the pairing happening. But a Big South team with more than one league loss is going to have an RPI in the 170 range, and at that point, I don't think Davidson's people would be very happy with playing the Flames. As Reggie says, the point of the Bracket Buster, at least the televised games, is to give a team like Davidson one last shot to rack up a high-RPI win to bolster its NCAA candidacy should it fail to win its league tournament. A game against a No. 160 Liberty wouldn't fit that bill.
Not saying that Davidson will really have much say in the matter, but as long as Davidson is as good as we think they'll be by the end of January, I'm not sure Liberty gets into that matchup unless the Flames are really, really good.