[stokesjokes]

Citing a poll makes one immediately question the rest of the post.

Well, if you're seeing a standard amount of error for each, you can try to infer the error in the other. They all had Biden at about +7 or +8, and so far it looks like he will be about +1 in Wisconsin and Michigan. If that 6-7 point error holds true in Nevada, then we have a super tight race on our hands.

On the other hand, you can't really say that the error in a different state with different circumstances will hold true. For instance, Minnesota is holding pretty close to the polling, with Biden winning at about +7. The Wisconsin and Michigan polling error is really at the upper limit of expected error, so it's probably unlikely that Nevada ends up as close as those races, but it just might.

[alabama24]

This would have been over for Trump if he had been more prudent in his social media posts and had been both pro-economy AND pro-mask during COVID.

[stokesjokes]

Maybe. He also fires up his base with all the anti-mask, anti-lockdown rhetoric.

[stokesjokes]

We have our first recount!

[thepostman]

Wisconsin won't certify their count until Dec 1, then at that time they will be able to conduct a re-count if requested. An election official just finished giving a statement and she said they are now going through the normal process of triple-checking everything. Unless I am understanding it wrong, but that is how she made it sound in her statement,

So if recounts are requested, they likely won't happen for a while in some states.

It is close and there is nothing wrong with asking for a recount. I'd much rather have that then ridiculous claims of fraud.

[Jonathan Carone]

This would have been over for Trump if he had been more prudent in his social media posts and had been both pro-economy AND pro-mask during COVID.

Had he taken COVID even 10% more seriously this thing would've been a blowout. Had he pushed for reopening while imploring people to wear masks to keep each other safe and allow businesses to stay open, he would've had a total landslide.

[stokesjokes]

We might see several recounts. I expect Michigan is a recount state. Depending on how GA breaks and who wins overall, that may be a recount state. Too early to tell with AZ, PA, and NV. I'm trying to understand why Fox News called AZ for Biden forever ago but no one else is following suit. Either Fox's metrics are way off or the other networks are being much more cautious.

[thepostman]

Biden is now projected to get the most votes in US history which is kind of crazy.

https://theweek.com/speedreads/947822/b ... te-history

[Jonathan Carone]

And Trump is going to beat Obama's 08 record too. That's crazy.

I guess the social media push to vote worked.

[stokesjokes]

To one of your talking points, Carone, I saw a poll that said 90% of people said this was the most important election in their lifetime. The enthusiasm definitely shows.

[TH Spangler]

Market seems to love an established dem puppet potus and a establisment rep Senate. Dow and Nasdaq way up.

[LUAlum1215]

Election officials in Nevada are investigating multiple claims of voter fraud. Apparently former culinary workers who no longer live in the state were sent ballots and that has uncovered a chain of potential issues.

[TH Spangler]

This would have been over for Trump if he had been more prudent in his social media posts and had been both pro-economy AND pro-mask during COVID.

Had he taken COVID even 10% more seriously this thing would've been a blowout. Had he pushed for reopening while imploring people to wear masks to keep each other safe and allow businesses to stay open, he would've had a total landslide.

Biden seemed to have all the answers for Covin19. Im watching to see what he does different.

[olldflame]

We might see several recounts. I expect Michigan is a recount state. Depending on how GA breaks and who wins overall, that may be a recount state. Too early to tell with AZ, PA, and NV. I'm trying to understand why Fox News called AZ for Biden forever ago but no one else is following suit. Either Fox's metrics are way off or the other networks are being much more cautious.

AP also called AZ for Biden overnight, but I agree that Fox was way to early with that, and may yet prove to be wrong.

[thepostman]

Fox has always been really quick on the trigger to call races and I never understood it. Arizona looks to be pretty safely Biden's but it didn't look that way last night when they called it.

Nevada on the other hand, that will be very interesting to watch.

[LUAlum1215]

Nevada officials have now said they will not have any further update until Thursday, Noon local time.

[alabama24]

Recounts? #NothingBurger

[stokesjokes]

Yeah, recounts have hardly ever changed outcomes in any races, but I suppose you have to feel like you've done everything you can if it's that close.

[stokesjokes]

Nevada officials have now said they will not have any further update until Thursday, Noon local time.

Boooo

[stokesjokes]

The only remaining votes to be counted in Nevada are either mail-in or provisional. That's not good news for Trump, as mail-in ballots have been consistently Biden-leaning. Interestingly, Nevada was one of the states to mail everyone a ballot.

[BigRed1]

Biden’s mental capacity and cognitive decline was the single biggest issue I had with voting for him.

Wow, this guy supports abortion, same sex marriage, against 2nd Amendment, supports the Green New Deal, refused to condemn violent rioting and embraces Socialism and your biggest issue is his mental capacity.

[stokesjokes]

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2 ... socialist/
"I beat the socialist," Biden said in a TV interview in Wisconsin, a reference to Democratic primary competitor Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., who calls himself a democratic socialist. "That’s how I got elected. That’s how I got the nomination. Do I look like a socialist? Look at my career — my whole career. I am not a socialist."

The rest is true

[paradox]

FYI: Data_Orbital Analytics has Trump on pace to win Arizona. Should be finalized Friday. If it holds, it all comes down to PA.

[thepostman]

Are those ok to keep counting? Just trying to keep up

[paradox]

And now we have the Trump campaign saying that they expect to call Arizona in their favor on Friday.

Whatever happens, that call by Fox was way too early.