Humble_Opinion wrote:VAGolf wrote:The combined enrollment of both TCU and Baylor is only 1,000 more than the next highest in the conference, Kansas State. It's also the only power 5 conference without a program located in a large market. Those facts don't exactly help a conference that's only had one team make the championship in the past 12 years.
I agree with some of your assessments, but the two statements above are not relevant, or are inaccurate in my opinion. First, yes, enrollment at TCU and Baylor aren't the biggest. Most private schools that participate in FBS football though don't have large enrollments, except for a few (BYU and USC). Notre Dame has an enrollment of ~12,500. LU's own on-campus enrollment is slightly smaller than Baylor's. The key to Baylor and TCU's relevance (outside the recent on-field successes you highlighted) is they are both considered to be academically inclined, and thus are looked upon by their public peers as being worthy members.
Second, a lot of the schools in the Big XII are in college towns that cater to small/mid-sized markets. However, TCU is in Ft. Worth, which is shown as the 16th largest city in the US by population. Austin, with a population of 2 million is shown as the 11th largest city in the US. Pretty sure those two are considered to be large markets, especially when you expand the definition to the overall MSA ratings, which is what networks are keen on.
I'm pretty sure something can't be "inaccurate in your opinion." Either it is inaccurate or it isn't. Kansas State has an enrollment of 25,000. Baylor and TCU combine for right around 26,000. You are correct that it isn't the biggest factor and yes, both programs bring an academic upside. However, my point is that neither of those programs are big enough to hold a conference together long term. The ACC likes Duke and Wake Forest competing but you don't want either school to dominate the league for a decade.
As for the cities, I'll give you Austin but TCU isn't very well represented in Fort Worth. At least, not enough to represent that city. In fact, you could argue that Texas A&M shares as much, maybe more, of the Fort Worth market than TCU does.
My point wasn't that the size of the markets are the reason why the Big12 is on the verge of irrelevancy. My point was that there are several factors contributing and if ALL of them continue to contribute, they're going to be in trouble. The future of the conference is not held in the same regard as the Pac12, Big10 or even ACC. If OU and Oklahoma State were to leave, the Big12 would be crippled.
It's also been leaked that TCU's decision is being influenced by their obligation to Texas. That kind of stuff doesn't just get leaked out randomly, someone inside of TCU is leaking the info. Information only gets leaked when someone wants it leaked. Why would TCU want everyone to know that they're only supporting Texas' vote because of obligation?