[SumItUp]

This post is the Cliff Notes version of why I believe there will be a McCain/Palin victory today. The attached article will take 20+ minutes to read.

In 2004, the media wisely delayed calling states when voting hadn’t been completed (such as Florida in 2000). There will be none of that delay in 2008. I suspect we will have many states called for Obama before the voting is even done. The state that will be erroneously called for Obama will be Pennslyvania. In Pennslyvania, all the Obama votes are mostly in the Philly and Pittsburg area and Obama will comfortably carry those areas. And those areas are the eastern part of Pennslyvania with the western part being more rural. With the ‘Obama leads’ that Philly and Pittsburg area comes in, and the myth that Obama is ahead 25 points (or whatever) in PA being believed by the anchors, they will call PA early. But once all the rest of the state votes, they will have to turn it into a toss-up. They will be EXTREMELY reluctant to call the state for McCain even when the votes clearly show he has won there (and he *will* win there.)

Obama will take New Mexico. Iowa is a true toss-up. Nevada leans McCain. Colorado won’t be called until very late in the night because it will be close. Virginia will go to McCain but the networks won’t call it, because they won’t believe McCain has won it. NC, IN, GA will, of course, go McCain. NH will also go McCain. The Rust Belt will be full of surprises on election night. I expect the traditional blue states to be more competitive than we have seen them over a decade due to very soft Obama support.

http://seanmalstrom.wordpress.com/2008/11/03/toast/

[TDDance234]

Everything I've read has mentioned that PA is going to be the deciding factor in who our next president is. If any republican could have won PA, it would have been McCain. Obama's foot-in-mouth comment about bankrupting the coal industry may cause some sway in Pittsburgh, but I don't see it enough to overcome Philly's obsession with Obama.

[Ed Dantes]

Everything I've read has mentioned that PA is going to be the deciding factor in who our next president is. If any republican could have won PA, it would have been McCain. Obama's foot-in-mouth comment about bankrupting the coal industry may cause some sway in Pittsburgh, but I don't see it enough to overcome Philly's obsession with Obama.

Agreed, although the Obama camp did everything they could to lose Pennsylvania. Back in the primaries, he said they were just bitter people who clung to religion & guns (which is why he lost by 10 points in the primary). The Joe the Plumber thing should have resonated with the blue-collar workers in Pittsburgh. And Rep. John Murtha's comments about his district, saying they're racist rednecks, really didn't help the matter.

[Hold My Own]

This post is the Cliff Notes version of why I believe there will be a McCain/Palin victory today. The attached article will take 20+ minutes to read.

In 2004, the media wisely delayed calling states when voting hadn’t been completed (such as Florida in 2000). There will be none of that delay in 2008. I suspect we will have many states called for Obama before the voting is even done. The state that will be erroneously called for Obama will be Pennslyvania. In Pennslyvania, all the Obama votes are mostly in the Philly and Pittsburg area and Obama will comfortably carry those areas. And those areas are the eastern part of Pennslyvania with the western part being more rural. With the ‘Obama leads’ that Philly and Pittsburg area comes in, and the myth that Obama is ahead 25 points (or whatever) in PA being believed by the anchors, they will call PA early. But once all the rest of the state votes, they will have to turn it into a toss-up. They will be EXTREMELY reluctant to call the state for McCain even when the votes clearly show he has won there (and he *will* win there.)

Obama will take New Mexico. Iowa is a true toss-up. Nevada leans McCain. Colorado won’t be called until very late in the night because it will be close. Virginia will go to McCain but the networks won’t call it, because they won’t believe McCain has won it. NC, IN, GA will, of course, go McCain. NH will also go McCain. The Rust Belt will be full of surprises on election night. I expect the traditional blue states to be more competitive than we have seen them over a decade due to very soft Obama support.

http://seanmalstrom.wordpress.com/2008/11/03/toast/

I'm not going to lie, at times it's your optimism that allows me to sleep at nights! Thanks!

["R" i "]

more than a 20 minute read. No PTI for me tonight. Thanks!

[01LUGrad]

NBC called PA for Obama with 0% reporting.

[SumItUp]

NBC called PA for Obama with 0% reporting.

I have been reading PUMA blogs throughout the day. The plan was for each of them to seek out pollsters and say that they voted for Obama. They stated to hold out for the call on Pennsylvania until the votes have been counted and that they expected it to be called for Obama early.

No promises, just passing on the info that I have read throughout the day.

[threepointshooter111]

IS OBAMA TOAST
DID PA GO FOR MCCAIN

OBAMA IS YOUR PRESIDENT BOY

[PastorZack]

I'll tell you the truth....I worked the polls in precint 535 North Sadsbury in Chester County,PA. We were still counting ballots and write-ins at 9:30. The closing of polls were 8:00pm. We vote in a firehouse here, so there will be firefighters periodically around. While we're stil counting ballots they proceed to tell us that they have already called PA for Obama. They told us this at 8:05pm tonight. I still can't stand the networks for this crap.

[threepointshooter111]

YOU WANT SOME TISSUE PASTOR ZACK BECAUSE YOU CRYING LIKE A BABY

[PastorZack]

hey troll...get a life...i was telling a story