Anything and everything about Liberty Flames football. Your comments on games, recruiting and the direction of the program as we move into new era.

Moderators: jcmanson, Sly Fox, BuryYourDuke, Class of 20Something

By The Cats
Registration Days Posts
#195607
new flame wrote:Furman played Mars Hill and Va Tech, and their SOC is 2
ECU played Va Tech and WVU, and their SOC is 15

?????????????????
The numbers you quoted are "rank of schedule" (as of that date,) not strength of overall schedule: "The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced by each team in the games that it's played so far. The schedule difficulty of a given game takes into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game."

"To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS (listed in his rankings as the "purple numbers") of the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points over a HOME team having a rating of 79."

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output (current Home Advantage = 2.87).
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
User avatar
By new flame
Registration Days Posts
#195621
So, playing Mars Hill at home and VaTech in Blacksburg is the no. 2 rated schedule in the country? And Playing WVU at home and VaTech on a neutral field -- even if it's listed as an ECU home game - is no. 15 rated schedule?

What's the difference b/n "rated schedule" and "strength of schedule?" I know I'm missing something here, but the jargon makes my head woozy. :oops:
By The Cats
Registration Days Posts
#195822
new flame wrote:So, playing Mars Hill at home and VaTech in Blacksburg is the no. 2 rated schedule in the country? And Playing WVU at home and VaTech on a neutral field -- even if it's listed as an ECU home game - is no. 15 rated schedule?

What's the difference b/n "rated schedule" and "strength of schedule?" I know I'm missing something here, but the jargon makes my head woozy. :oops:
I think you are concentrating on the wrong set of numbers..... focus on his overall "RATINGS" numbers (listed in his "Rating" the "purple numbers").

The "rated schedule" at this point of the season is almost useless (not enough games played for valid ranking).

The Ratings numbers are what is used to compare programs.....

For example using our upcoming game.... this week, Liberty has a rating of: 47.67 Western has a rating of: 44.20

This week's home advantage factor is a: + 2.87

44.20
+2.87
48.07

Therefore, WCU is favored by .4 of a point (thus a total toss up)
By Obiwan
Registration Days Posts
#195829
Cats wrote:
For example using our upcoming game.... this week, Liberty has a rating of: 47.67 Western has a rating of: 44.20

This week's home advantage factor is a: + 2.87

44.20
+2.87
48.07

Therefore, WCU is favored by .4 of a point (thus a total toss up)
Slight error in addition: 4 plus 2 = 6, then add the carried 1:
44.20
+2.87
47.07

Therefore, Liberty is favored by .6 of a point (still a total toss up)
By The Cats
Registration Days Posts
#195835
Obiwan wrote:
Cats wrote:
For example using our upcoming game.... this week, Liberty has a rating of: 47.67 Western has a rating of: 44.20

This week's home advantage factor is a: + 2.87

44.20
+2.87
48.07

Therefore, WCU is favored by .4 of a point (thus a total toss up)
Slight error in addition: 4 plus 2 = 6, then add the carried 1:
44.20
+2.87
47.07

Therefore, Liberty is favored by .6 of a point (still a total toss up)
Thanks for correcting my addition error.... :oops: :oops: :oops:

but you are correct, still a toss up according to Sagarin
Coaching changes

It appears your intel was on the mark.