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Moderators: jcmanson, Sly Fox, BuryYourDuke

By Humble_Opinion
Registration Days Posts
#662600
Well said PH. Between the two parties and their candidates, the Democrats represent a far greater threat to freedom, including that of religion. Don’t forget, they took nuns to court for refusing to offer abortion coverage. The process of changing Americans thoughts about abortion is a slow one. Under Trump, we saw the most meaningful progress we’ve had in decades. I’ll take that over a sprint in the opposite direction under a Harris admin.
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By Purple Haize
Registration Days Posts
#663203
Another assassination attempt on Trump. This is a wild time to be alive (pardon the pun)
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By TH Spangler
Registration Days Posts
#663208
Purple Haize wrote: September 15th, 2024, 8:46 pm Another assassination attempt on Trump. This is a wild time to be alive (pardon the pun)
I just read that Ryan Routh also appeared in a Blackrock Commerical just like Thomas Crooks?

Sounds like he was in a AZOV Battalion video, not a Blackrock Commerical.
By olldflame
Registration Days Posts
#663311
In a discussion of who the dems have who could make a positive impact on male voters in the podcast space where Trump has done so well lately, I just read a laughable suggestion. Tim Walz talking football with the Kelce brothers!?

After a good laugh, something occurred to me. I wonder who was a better HS football volunteer assistant coach, Walz or ballcoach15? Considering how much success the Gretna football program has had over the years, I think my money is on ballcoach.
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By TH Spangler
Registration Days Posts
#663321
Humble_Opinion wrote: August 22nd, 2024, 7:18 pm Great idea… don’t vote for Trump. The only guy on the ticket that will put mostly conservative judges on the federal bench. No let’s ensure that Kamamalala, the most liberal senator during her term, gets a shot to appoint 3 SCJs and a bunch of federal appeals court judges to the bench. That will really help the pro-life cause… :roll:
Good sermon

By olldflame
Registration Days Posts
#663946
Liberty alum Shannon Bream did us proud IMHO by holding Tim Walz' feet to the fire in a recent interview.



The clips of Shannon are interspersed with commentary by Jeremy (and advertising) butit's worth wading through it with some fast forwarding IMHO. She really does a great job.
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By Purple Haize
Registration Days Posts
#663947
She did amazing. Tough and respectful
By Humble_Opinion
Registration Days Posts
#663953
Tim Walz is better at handling pressure than Kamala, and he isn't that great. Imagine if Kamala had to get interviewed by Shannon Bream, or someone more hostile on Fox News, as opposed to basically doing an abortion infomercial on the 'Call Her Daddy' podcast. Compared to JD Vance and even Trump himself, Kamala is unable to handle the heat. No matter how they try to spin it, the past four years have not been great and she has to own it.
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By TH Spangler
Registration Days Posts
#664043
Last election Biden said to vote for him because he wasn't Trump. This time Harris is saying to vote her because she's not Biden.
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By prototype
Registration Days Posts
#664044
JK37 wrote: October 8th, 2024, 6:30 pm I don’t believe she’s had much to do at all with the last four years.
That's the point. She could have. The second she saw Biden failing to string a sentence together and his approval rating dropping like a rock, she should have stepped up.

She also should have taken responsibility on thigs like the border - that was assigned to her.

Truth is - she's not even a good politician. Did you see the other day where her teleprompter went out during a speech... It was bad - look it up.
By olldflame
Registration Days Posts
#664052
TH Spangler wrote: October 11th, 2024, 1:27 pm Last election Biden said to vote for him because he wasn't Trump. This time Harris is saying to vote her because she's not Biden.
While at the same time responding "I can't think of a single thing" when asked what she would change about Biden's policies.
By JK37
Registration Days Posts
#664053
Agreed on all fronts about her being a poor politician. Even if you agree with her, you can’t be thrilled. Dems have to be so disappointed, because they haven’t voted FOR a candidate since Barack. It’s just been all voting AGAINST the other guy.
By Humble_Opinion
Registration Days Posts
#664069
The JD Vance pick is turning out to be quite a good one I think. He's undefeated on the Sunday morning political news tour and he's very comfortable speaking off the cuff.
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By RubberMallet
Registration Days Posts
#664086
2020 was definitely about people voting for not trump. even as a skeleton, biden still functionally could fill the position. The issue in 2024 is that harris can not and its fairly obvious. so they are trying to pivot to another "not trump" vote and its not really working. people would rather just not vote at all.
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By thepostman
Registration Days Posts
#664088
It's still a toss up. Most polls in swing states are still within the margin of error. I can't imagine feeling confident one way or the other. I know Nate Silver gets a lot of criticism from both sides of the aisle but his model significantly improved during the 2022 cycle. Since he pulls from polls all over I think it keeps things in perspective. They are still polls so it's obviously not an exact science.

There are 2 things that are very obvious

1. A lot of people underestimate how unlikable Trump is to a lot of people. Especially so if they tune into one of his rallies.
2. A lot of people underestimate how many people are one issue voters and a lot of those one issue voters tend to lean towards Trump.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silve ... -146002606

In 3 weeks it's all over. Right? :?
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By RubberMallet
Registration Days Posts
#664089
I think your #1 point is correct, but I think this go around more of those people who don't like trump will stay home. the cost of everything is perceptively still very high. and there is a little bit of a devil you know is better than a devil you don't.

Will that be enough to tip the scales? I'm not sure. Momentum is in Trumps favor at the moment. Who knows what the Harris campaign does.

I will say that trotting JD Vance out there is pretty refreshing. He's the only 1 out of the 4 that I like listening to. That stems a lot of the "is trump too old" stuff.
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By jmclaughlin
Posts
#664091
Just spent a few days in and around Flint, Michigan. A Union heavy / Democratic stronghold for 6 decades. There were 6 to 1 Trump signs in the yards across all sections that I saw. The number of union member flips from blue to red is not being represented. And those who still poll Blue are not as likely to go into the ballot booth and pull a lever for the most limp wristed ticket ever assembled. Per Mallet's point.
Yet...this will still be close. If it is within 6% in MI, PN, NC or AZ at poll closing...Dems will find those late night votes to make up the gap.
The next 3 weeks are going to get wild.
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By LU 57
Posts
#664096
https://kalshi.com/

Had a chance to hear the founder of this platform on a panel at a conference last week. Events betting has been proving the most accurate barometer of sentiment and as you can see Trump is pulling away on this platform.

Also had an opportunity to hear Scott Rasmussen speak at the same conference and heard Amy Walter from the Cook Report speak on the election at a different conference today. Both were noncommittal and said it would likely come down to Pennsylvania. Interesting stuff.
Last edited by LU 57 on October 15th, 2024, 8:36 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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By Purple Haize
Registration Days Posts
#664098
RubberMallet wrote: October 15th, 2024, 11:52 am I think your #1 point is correct, but I think this go around more of those people who don't like trump will stay home. the cost of everything is perceptively still very high. and there is a little bit of a devil you know is better than a devil you don't.

Will that be enough to tip the scales? I'm not sure. Momentum is in Trumps favor at the moment. Who knows what the Harris campaign does.

I will say that trotting JD Vance out there is pretty refreshing. He's the only 1 out of the 4 that I like listening to. That stems a lot of the "is trump too old" stuff.
I agree with this. Last time the Never Trump vote was highly motivated. Many felt that ANYTHING would be better than Trump. This time around a good portion of that vote will simply stay home. Remember that Biden got the most votes in history and Trump the second. He won’t lose much if any of that number and only needs a handful in a few States to switch. I cannot see Harris equaling Biden vote total either in the General or a few key swing states. Finally Trump has finished better than his polling suggested. He’s currently polling better than he did in 16 or 20.
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By TH Spangler
Registration Days Posts
#664100
Trump was excellent at the Economic Club of Chicago today. His growth plan is what's needed to start digging out of the hole we're in.
By Humble_Opinion
Registration Days Posts
#664112
Look... I'm voting for Trump, but if we're defining the "hole" as the national debt, which is what it should be defined as, then neither candidate is going to do anything but dig deeper. We are too far gone to simply grow our way out of this mess. It's going to take real reforms including a balanced budget, massive reductions to government bureaucracies and no handouts to foreign governments to get this course corrected. And then we will have to stay on that course for a solid two decades to see real progress.
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By TH Spangler
Registration Days Posts
#664117
Humble_Opinion wrote: October 16th, 2024, 10:11 am Look... I'm voting for Trump, but if we're defining the "hole" as the national debt, which is what it should be defined as, then neither candidate is going to do anything but dig deeper. We are too far gone to simply grow our way out of this mess. It's going to take real reforms including a balanced budget, massive reductions to government bureaucracies and no handouts to foreign governments to get this course corrected. And then we will have to stay on that course for a solid two decades to see real progress.
I agree.

And use tariffs to encourage more domistic manufacturing. Growth.
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