- August 8th, 2007, 5:15 pm
#100927
Tusculum - They run a 3-3-5. We should be able to run on them like crazy. It should be over by halftime.
Shippensburg - They're even worse.
W&M - They were 3-8 last year and should be just as bad last year. We lost to them during our horrible slump last year and still shouldn't have lost.
Elon - They have a crap load of rookies. They play South Florida and WV Weslyan before they play us so we really won't know what they have before the game. They have two rookies battling for the QB spot and lost their best defensive player.
St. Francis - Don't know much about em except they're not that good.
Toledo - They're an FBS school. Depending on how we play leading up that game, I seriously think we can compete with them. We have 3 OL and an RB who have actually gotten playing time on a higher level than Toledo. We have the potential to pull an upset that game, but I'm not saying we will.
Chuck South - They lost their leading passer and leading receiver. They released a depth chart, and on the receivers it was 3-wide, 2-deep. Of those six players, they caught a total of 32 passes last year. One of those players caught 31 of those 32 passes. They claim they have 10 players returning on defense, but their coach said a few days ago that some of those guys are in serious jeopardy right now.
Presby - They have 8 road games. By that time in the season, it's likely they'll be completely beaten up. They'll be able to compete, but we should win.
Coastal - Our hardest game outside of Toledo. They have a lot of unknowns, but unlike a lot of people on this board, I think they'll be a very good team this year, especially by November when we play them. Jamie Childers will likely be their QB, if not him then Ren McKinnon. Either way, it'll be a mobile QB. Luckily, we've got Vince Redd who is the fastest and biggest linebacker in the league. A few other things going for us: They are 2-4 in big road games over the past two years. They also have a very bad record on artificial turf. The past two years have been decided by a total of 8 points. This game should be close, should be very fun to watch, but I think we'll come out on top. For our Coastal lurkers, that's not a knock on Coastal, it's just I think we have a better team this year. Coastal has a pretty easy schedule leading up to our game (3 home games vs Chowan, Presby, and VMI) so they'll likely be putting in some stuff for us during those three weeks and should be completely ready for us. With that being said, I still think we pull it out in a very good game. The winner of this game wins the conference.
VMI - It's a home game and senior day. Jim Reid is doing a good job at VMI, he just doesn't have the bodies right now. Hopefully he'll turn that team around in the coming years, but I don't think they have the bodies to match with us this year.
Gardner-Webb - G-W has a good team. No one will deny that. They have some good players on defense and have a potent offense (when they don't throw a bunch of INTs). The knock against G-W is their schedule. In their first six games, they have to go to Ohio (FBS), Mississippi St (SEC), Appalachian St (FCS two-time champs), and Wofford (top 5 FCS). Add to that the fact that they have to go to Coastal the week before us, and I don't think they'll have much left. They'll likely be 5-5 (2-1 conference) coming into the game, so they'd want to play spoiler and grab a share of the conference championship, but I don't think they'll have the bodies left to play that spoiler.
I think we win a definite nine games. I think we have a great potential to win ten games, but we'll have to play good, mistake free football to do that. We are the most hated team in conference, and everyone guns for us every week.
If we win nine games, we don't go to the playoffs. Hands down, enough said. There's no chance.
If we win ten games, there's a chance for the playoffs. It's not guaranteed. It will all depend on how soundly we won our games, and how the teams on our schedule do this year. If we beat G-W and they pull an upset over Wofford, that will be a much better win than if they don't. If Coastal can pull upsets over Furman, GSU, and/or JMU, and we beat Coastal, then that will look GREAT for us. If they don't beat any of those, the win won't be as impressive. It is very possible that we win ten games and don't make the playoffs. We will have a great case, but without the auto-bid, and without a great schedule, it's hard to say it's a guarantee.
With all of that being said, I plan on being at all eleven, and hopefully all 12, 13, 14, or 15 games. It should be a fun ride, and it all starts in a little over three weeks.