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Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 10:07 am
by TDDance234
What kind of seed will the WBB team get? Which bracket will they play in?
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 10:13 am
by jcmanson
I was getting ready to start this thread. The selections will be announced live tonight at 7pm on ESPN.
Our RPI is in the 80s. We have 2 wins over top 100 RPI teams – G-W and Tulane and 0 bad losses. Based on some of our past seedings we are staring a 14 seed in the eye.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 11:13 am
by ToTheLeft
Yeah... 13 at the highest, don't think there's any way we're a 15. Probably a 14.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 11:29 am
by olldflame
13 is where you start to have a legitimate chance to win in the first round in WBB. I believe that was where we were in our sweet 16 year. Might have been 12.
I say we get a 14. If we had beaten G-W at the Vines it would have been another quality win, and our chances at a 13 would have been better.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 11:32 am
by jcmanson
ToTheLeft wrote:Yeah... 13 at the highest, don't think there's any way we're a 15. Probably a 14.
After looking at the teams we're competing with I wouldn't be shocked if we're a 15.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 11:55 am
by Chris Lang
Creme's ESPN bracketology has Liberty as a 13 playing Baylor in Seattle.
Interesting that Reeves made that comment the other day about wanting to see Avery Warley and Brittany Griner play each other ...
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 12:08 pm
by olldflame
Wow. Baylor would be a tough matchup, but it would be huge PR for our program. That game will have a significant audience just from people who are curious to see what the fuss is about Griner. I've seen Baylor a couple of times, and Griner is a huge talent, but I do think Avery could muscle her around (if the refs let her).
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 12:12 pm
by Sly Fox
Seattle would be a lousy location for the two big Baptist schools to match up. And for the record, I would not want to see them in the first round ... at all.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 12:27 pm
by jcmanson
If we're being predicted to be a 13 we will be a 14, at best.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 1:29 pm
by JK37
On the women's side, seeds 11-16 are more about regional alignment than about quality, meaning a 13 isn't necessarily better than a 14. The women's selection committee wants to do everything it can to put teams as close to home as possible in the early rounds, as well as to create storylines if there can be any had (See LU's undefeated girls facing undefeated UT in mid-90's). Of course, LU's more recent experience shows that it can't always work perfectly for everyone with regard to travel distance.
Its done this way in a concerted effort to grow the sport. Its also why host schools automatically play at home if they are selected, as opposed to the men where that's expressly forbidden. It makes Creme's attempt at predicting region (as well as seed, for that matter) mean far less than, say, Lunardi's with regard to the men.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 1:49 pm
by ATrain
I remember us being predicted to be 12 matching up against a #5 Penn State in '05. We ended up being a 13 against a #4 Penn State and winning.
I predict that Creme is right about opponent, but Baylor will be a #3 and we'll be a 14.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 2:14 pm
by Cider Jim
Chris Lang wrote:Creme's ESPN bracketology has Liberty as a 13 playing Baylor in Seattle.
Anybody checking flight prices out of Lynchburg or Dulles? Flame Convert?

Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 2:20 pm
by olldflame
JK37 wrote:On the women's side, seeds 11-16 are more about regional alignment than about quality, meaning a 13 isn't necessarily better than a 14. The women's selection committee wants to do everything it can to put teams as close to home as possible in the early rounds, as well as to create storylines if there can be any had (See LU's undefeated girls facing undefeated UT in mid-90's). Of course, LU's more recent experience shows that it can't always work perfectly for everyone with regard to travel distance.
Its done this way in a concerted effort to grow the sport. Its also why host schools automatically play at home if they are selected, as opposed to the men where that's expressly forbidden. It makes Creme's attempt at predicting region (as well as seed, for that matter) mean far less than, say, Lunardi's with regard to the men.
In practice, a 13 is better, and can be MUCH better than a 14 because of the opponent. There is a pretty big dropoff in talent in WBB after the top 10 or so, so often you get a more winnable game with a 13 seed vs. a 4 than a 14 vs. a 3.
Of course right now, by far the biggest talent dropoff in WBB comes between 1 and 2.

Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 2:41 pm
by olldflame
Cider Jim wrote:Chris Lang wrote:Creme's ESPN bracketology has Liberty as a 13 playing Baylor in Seattle.
Anybody checking flight prices out of Lynchburg or Dulles? Flame Convert? 
Flying out Friday and back Monday or Tuesday........... $313 on Delta from Raleigh $528 from Lynchburg.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 2:46 pm
by g-webb1994
Before yesterday, ESPN had G-W as a 13 playing Kentucky. I think they'll put you guys as a 14 somewhere.
Of course, y'all would have to argue amongst yourselves, but would you rather be a 13 playing all the way in Seattle or in California, or a 14 playing within a day drive of Lynchburg, like Louisville, Cincy, or Tallacrappy?
Of course, I know good and well many of you are sacrificing candles, lighting goats, etc. to be playing in Norfolk, I don't think the committee will be that kind.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 2:47 pm
by g-webb1994
olldflame wrote:Cider Jim wrote:Chris Lang wrote:Creme's ESPN bracketology has Liberty as a 13 playing Baylor in Seattle.
Anybody checking flight prices out of Lynchburg or Dulles? Flame Convert? 
Flying out Friday and back Monday or Tuesday........... $313 on Delta from Raleigh $528 from Lynchburg.
Don't forget AirTran and Southwest both fly out of Raleigh as well. Good luck on that.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 5:16 pm
by prototype
15 seed, but wouldn't be shocked if we were at 16th seed this year. Not that this should take away from another successful year, but we were supposed to be rebuilding this year and just the fact that we won the BSC again - is a huge accomplishment. We just don't have any real quality wins this year - GW is not a quality win, Tulane maybe. Our strength of schedule was very low too.
**Before you say GW was a quality win - just because they won 26 games - their SOS was worse than ours.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 5:37 pm
by SuperJon
We're #62 in the RPI. There are 12 teams in the tournament with a lower RPI than us.
There's no way we get a 16.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 7:10 pm
by Stevev
I figured that we should get a 14 seed. We didn't beat a ranked opponent but we hung tough with JMU and Virginia. By the way Tulane got a 12 seed and we beat them. They are announcing the brackets right now on ESPN. Have to go now.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 7:13 pm
by Stevev
East Tennessee got a 14. No way we should be below them
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 7:20 pm
by olldflame
13 seed, playing Kentucky.
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 7:21 pm
by Stevev
Kentucky it is and a 13 seed
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 7:21 pm
by BJWilliams
Youd think one of these years that ESPN would send a camera down here...
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 7:22 pm
by SumItUp
Lynchburg, VA to Louisville, KY
476 miles
7 hours, 40 minutes drive time per Google maps
Re: Where will LU end up?
Posted: March 15th, 2010, 7:23 pm
by ToTheLeft
Winnable game. We're not the favorites, but we can win. Good luck, ladies.