- December 16th, 2018, 10:16 am
#567246
So we all know that we have seen some major progress since Ritchie McKay has been hired. The team has improved it's record practically every year he's been here, but I wanted to provide a ranking based on ESPN's BPI, because record isn't everything.
If you're not familiar with BPI, it's essentially ESPN's computer Power Rankings that they use to help predict percentages of a team winning any particular game. From what I have seen it's been a pretty solid predictor. So I went back and looked at Liberty's BPI for each of the years McKay has been here vs. Layer's last year. Here are the results:
Year - BPI
2018-2019 - 59
2017-2018 - 130
2016-2017 - 206
2015-2016 - 293
2014-2015 - 327 -Layer's last year
That's an average improvement of 67 slots a year! That's astonishing progress, and very consistent as well. Also, our record was 8-24 the last year that Layer was here with a SOS of 349! That's almost dead last in SOS and we only won 8 games...
We certainly haven't played the most rigorous schedule this year, as our SOS sits at 312, but that being said we've already eclipsed the number of wins Layer had in his final season at Liberty after only 11 games played.
Here's the crazy part. The BPI projects Liberty's chance of getting to the round of 32 at 22.7%. They project a 6.9% of Sweet 16 and 2.5% chance of Elite 8! See the link below for details:
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basket ... ent/page/3
My question is, are the fans noticing? What will it take for Liberty to get some butts in the seats at the Vines? Will it take a win at Alabama? Even more, will it take a win at UCLA? How about an NCAA tournament win? How about a Sweet 16?
How about you? What's your opinion? Are the fans noticing what's happening with this program?
If you're not familiar with BPI, it's essentially ESPN's computer Power Rankings that they use to help predict percentages of a team winning any particular game. From what I have seen it's been a pretty solid predictor. So I went back and looked at Liberty's BPI for each of the years McKay has been here vs. Layer's last year. Here are the results:
Year - BPI
2018-2019 - 59
2017-2018 - 130
2016-2017 - 206
2015-2016 - 293
2014-2015 - 327 -Layer's last year
That's an average improvement of 67 slots a year! That's astonishing progress, and very consistent as well. Also, our record was 8-24 the last year that Layer was here with a SOS of 349! That's almost dead last in SOS and we only won 8 games...
We certainly haven't played the most rigorous schedule this year, as our SOS sits at 312, but that being said we've already eclipsed the number of wins Layer had in his final season at Liberty after only 11 games played.
Here's the crazy part. The BPI projects Liberty's chance of getting to the round of 32 at 22.7%. They project a 6.9% of Sweet 16 and 2.5% chance of Elite 8! See the link below for details:
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basket ... ent/page/3
My question is, are the fans noticing? What will it take for Liberty to get some butts in the seats at the Vines? Will it take a win at Alabama? Even more, will it take a win at UCLA? How about an NCAA tournament win? How about a Sweet 16?
How about you? What's your opinion? Are the fans noticing what's happening with this program?