- November 23rd, 2018, 5:28 pm
#564001
So we did this in football but I thought it'd be fun to track Liberty's projected record in basketball based on ESPN's basketball power index.
So I projected Liberty's record with two things in mind. The first is if Liberty's record based on statistical odds, and the other is if Liberty won every game they were favored in. Here are the projected results:
Opponent Liberty's Odds to Win
Maine-Fort Kent 100.0%
Trevecca Nazarene 100.0%
at Kent State 100.0%
at Vanderbilt 0.0%
Alcorn State 100.0%
Savannah State 95.4%
at Navy 68.0%
Georgia State 52.2%
at Georgetown 28.2%
South Carolina State 93.6%
Kentucky Christian 99.6%
Alabama 24.5%
Alabama State 81.7%
at UCLA 27.1%
at FGC 48.2%
at Stetson 78.7%
Jacksonville 86.1%
at Kennesaw State 81.8%
North Florida 82.6%
North Alabama 95.8%
at Jacksonville 55.6%
Lipscomb 66.8%
NJIT 76.7%
Stetson 94.6%
FGC 80.4%
at Lipscomb 35.9%
at North Alabama 85.8%
at North Florida 55.9%
Kennesaw State 94.1%
at NJIT 48.4%
Total 21.377
As you can see, based on my math the expectation for this team should be 21-9. If we beat the teams we're supposed to beat we would end up 23-7 in the regular season. I think most would be pretty pumped with the final results ended up putting Liberty at 21-23 wins with only 3-4 conference losses.
What are your thoughts?
So I projected Liberty's record with two things in mind. The first is if Liberty's record based on statistical odds, and the other is if Liberty won every game they were favored in. Here are the projected results:
Opponent Liberty's Odds to Win
Maine-Fort Kent 100.0%
Trevecca Nazarene 100.0%
at Kent State 100.0%
at Vanderbilt 0.0%
Alcorn State 100.0%
Savannah State 95.4%
at Navy 68.0%
Georgia State 52.2%
at Georgetown 28.2%
South Carolina State 93.6%
Kentucky Christian 99.6%
Alabama 24.5%
Alabama State 81.7%
at UCLA 27.1%
at FGC 48.2%
at Stetson 78.7%
Jacksonville 86.1%
at Kennesaw State 81.8%
North Florida 82.6%
North Alabama 95.8%
at Jacksonville 55.6%
Lipscomb 66.8%
NJIT 76.7%
Stetson 94.6%
FGC 80.4%
at Lipscomb 35.9%
at North Alabama 85.8%
at North Florida 55.9%
Kennesaw State 94.1%
at NJIT 48.4%
Total 21.377
As you can see, based on my math the expectation for this team should be 21-9. If we beat the teams we're supposed to beat we would end up 23-7 in the regular season. I think most would be pretty pumped with the final results ended up putting Liberty at 21-23 wins with only 3-4 conference losses.
What are your thoughts?