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Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 5th, 2022, 8:03 pm
by rtb72
Pretty big favorite in this one. Rat poison? Regardless....

LU 41
UMass 10

Tie Breaker: TOTAL offensive yards allowed by the FIREWALL!

190

--------------------Standings---------------------
Week 1: Chippy
Week2: Racenut
Week 3: JK37
Week 4: Prototype
Week 5: rtb

No one has broken out in the lead yet!

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 5th, 2022, 8:16 pm
by aredd33
LU 34
Pride Day 14

222 yards

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 5th, 2022, 8:38 pm
by Baybird
LU 51
UMass 17

Firewall 216

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 5th, 2022, 8:58 pm
by JK37
45-14, 145 yards

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 5th, 2022, 9:24 pm
by ballcoach15
LU 35 UMass 7. 225 yds


UMass plays a slow down game, they are 25th in nation in time of possession. Hopefully we get a lot of 3 and outs, plus TOs.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 6th, 2022, 12:18 am
by FlamesHighontheTide
LU 48
UMESS 0

175 yards

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 6th, 2022, 5:46 am
by prototype
This will not be a close game, but with Salter, expected to be out, I don't think the score will be a blowout.

LU - 27
UMass - 10

I just want a win at this point, until Brewer and/or Salter come back.

Firewall - gives up 215 yards

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 6th, 2022, 6:27 am
by flamehunter
33-13 Flames
264 yards

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 6th, 2022, 7:09 am
by Dalegarz1
LU-30
UMASS-17

285 yards

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 7th, 2022, 10:55 am
by CCWMichael
We will stack the box on them and stop the only viable part of their offensive offense.
Which QB's will play for us and for how long?

LU 52 as we find ways around their box stuffing
Umess 3

We give up 185 in yardage

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 7th, 2022, 12:26 pm
by Chippy
LU 27
ZooMass 17 (My wife is a graduate :) )

307 yds

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 7th, 2022, 8:22 pm
by jmclaughlin
LU - 31
Umess - 6

Wind is a factor in our passing game and we eat a lot of clock

D gives up 219 yards

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 7th, 2022, 10:22 pm
by Racenut
38-14 Good Guys

209 yards allowed

Pray for no injuries and playing time for 3rd and 4th string

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 8th, 2022, 10:54 pm
by flamehunter
By my calculations, Racenut gets his second win on the season.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 12:00 am
by prototype
How do you determine winner? I predicted a 17 point win. We won by 18 and I was closer to what yards we gave up ;)

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 12:35 am
by rtb72
I think it would be most accurate to go with closest to the actual final score. If UMass lost by 17...one could predict 72-55 and be way off with the actual score, but within the margin of win.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 8:07 am
by flamehunter
After further review, the ruling on the field is overturned. Aredd33 wins.
I calculate the difference between the flames score, opponents score, and spread. So 42-24 was final. Racenut guessed 38-14. So 42-38=4. 24-14=10. Spread was 18, his was 24 so 24-18=6. 4+10+6 = 20 is his final score. Aredd came up with 20 (34-14) also but has the tiebreaker with his guess of 220 vs racenut's 209. Total Umass offense was 233.
If someone can come up with a better way to figure a winner that's cool. But I think this takes into account all of the variables, fairly.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 8:31 am
by Kricket
flamehunter wrote: October 9th, 2022, 8:07 am After further review, the ruling on the field is overturned. Aredd33 wins.
I calculate the difference between the flames score, opponents score, and spread. So 42-24 was final. Racenut guessed 38-14. So 42-38=4. 24-14=10. Spread was 18, his was 24 so 24-18=6. 4+10+6 = 20 is his final score. Aredd came up with 20 (34-14) also but has the tiebreaker with his guess of 220 vs racenut's 209. Total Umass offense was 233.
If someone can come up with a better way to figure a winner that's cool. But I think this takes into account all of the variables, fairly.
I would get rid of that spread variable and give the win to JK. It's a score prediction thread not a spread prediction thread isn't it?

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 9:54 am
by Racenut
I vote for me, ancillary prayer for no injuries and playing time for walk-ons should count for something.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 11:02 am
by ballcoach15
Whoever gets closest to final score should be winner. Spread should not be a factor.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 11:29 am
by rtb72
LU 42 - UMass 24

JK: 45(3) - 14(10)

Racenut: 38(4) - 14 (10)

The reason I majored in CJ and Psychology is so I wouldn't have to do a whole lot of math :D . Although...statistics just about killed me. However, I don't see how the above could not be most applicable to a score prediction thread. Looks like to me JK won the day by 1 point margin on score prediction difference.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 11:50 am
by JK37
I keep telling you all….if you would just listen and take everything I say 100%, you’d all be a lot smarter. Isn’t that what message boards are for? :lol:

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 2:16 pm
by ballcoach15
I don't think of myself as a defensive guru, but my guess of 225 yards was closest to the 233 Umass gained.

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 3:50 pm
by flamehunter
rtb72 wrote: October 9th, 2022, 11:29 am LU 42 - UMass 24

JK: 45(3) - 14(10)

Racenut: 38(4) - 14 (10)

The reason I majored in CJ and Psychology is so I wouldn't have to do a whole lot of math :D . Although...statistics just about killed me. However, I don't see how the above could not be most applicable to a score prediction thread. Looks like to me JK won the day by 1 point margin on score prediction difference.
So by your reasoning, someone who guessed 39-34 would have tied with JK. Or 32 - 27 would have tied. You have to give some credit for getting a better guess for the margin of victory. IMHO

Re: Prediction Thread - LU @ UMass

Posted: October 9th, 2022, 4:07 pm
by ballcoach15
Technically whoever is closest to number of points scored by Liberty is the best guess. Points allowed by LU is always scary because 3 and 4th string players could be in game in 4th quarter