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Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 8:50 am
by ATrain
We now have 3 wins that count for bowl eligibility, and need 3 more. The Maine game will not come, and 5 out of 6 of the games against FBS competition are on the road.

New Mexico State - currently winless, we beat them on the road last year and they beat us at home. On paper we should sweep this series, but as we found out last year its hard to beat a team twice in the season. Nevertheless, its a different season and these should be two of our wins, provided Virginia doesn't beat us up to much before we host them at home.

UMass - aka UMess on the ESPN Bottom 10. Again, on paper, we should win, but our last visit to Amherst didn't go so well. The Minutemen picked up their first win last night against Akron. They lost to Rutgers, 48-21, to open the season. We're favored, but we always seem to lose at least one game we should win.

Rutgers - beat UMass 48-21, but haven't won since. Were shut-out by Iowa and Michigan, and since beating UMass opponents have been hanging at least 30 points on them. If our defense plays the way they did last night, we have a great shot at our first win over a B1G team.

BYU - they won at Tennessee, but so did Georgia State (NOT Southern). They also beat #24 USC, but lost to two other ranked opponents on their schedule. Last night they lost to Toledo, a team we nearly beat 12 years ago when we were an FCS team. This year Toledo is 3 - 1 with their only loss to Kentucky. BYU likely beats us in Provo.

Virginia - they handled us in Charlottesville last year, and are performing as predicted this year. They hung with Notre Dame for most of the game, so unless they overlook us (and they might, considering they have Tech coming to town the weekend after us) they will have no problem getting a win over us.

Prediction - we get our 3 wins by sweeping NMSU and beating UMass, with a bonus win over Rutgers to become bowl eligible. We lose to BYU and Virginia.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 8:52 am
by JK37
Should be titled “Road to Bowl Eligibility”. Eligibility doesn’t necessarily equal an Invite for LU.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 9:11 am
by Jonathan Carone
I’m ruling BYU and UVA out.

For the other four, we’re currently favorites in three of them. The one we’re not (Rutgers) are getting closer to being favored. That game is up to 45% to win.

If we finished with less than 7 wins, it will be very disappointing.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 10:53 am
by JK37
Something else that just occurred to me: could LU’s political/media baggage affect a bowl committee’s desire to select Liberty as a participant?

I hope not, but objectively I really think it could.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 9:32 pm
by chris leedlelee
JK37 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 10:53 am Something else that just occurred to me: could LU’s political/media baggage affect a bowl committee’s desire to select Liberty as a participant?

I hope not, but objectively I really think it could.
While I'd say its a possibility, LU, if bowl eligible, would be a prime candidate for many of the bowls with which it has tie-ins. A bowl eligible LU shouldn't struggle to get a bowl bid IMHO.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 10:30 pm
by BJWilliams
Im feeling the sweep of NMSU and a win over UMass. If we lose to UVa and BYU as expected, I say we go at minimum 5-2 which puts us at 8-4 (7 counter wins) which should give us a nice resume for a bowl invite

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 10:59 pm
by JK37
chris leedlelee wrote: September 29th, 2019, 9:32 pm
JK37 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 10:53 am Something else that just occurred to me: could LU’s political/media baggage affect a bowl committee’s desire to select Liberty as a participant?

I hope not, but objectively I really think it could.
While I'd say its a possibility, LU, if bowl eligible, would be a prime candidate for many of the bowls with which it has tie-ins. A bowl eligible LU shouldn't struggle to get a bowl bid IMHO.
This year, LU only has one tie-in.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 29th, 2019, 11:06 pm
by rtb72
JK37 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 10:53 am Something else that just occurred to me: could LU’s political/media baggage affect a bowl committee’s desire to select Liberty as a participant?

I hope not, but objectively I really think it could.
I was thinking the same thing. While I hope it does not, was this not in part what hindered us in being accepted into FBS initially? Accepted by a conference? While it may be an unspoken reason, I have concerns it could plague our selection for a bowl. Hopefully, it's just unnecessary worry.....

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 30th, 2019, 5:44 am
by olldflame
rtb72 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 11:06 pm
JK37 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 10:53 am Something else that just occurred to me: could LU’s political/media baggage affect a bowl committee’s desire to select Liberty as a participant?

I hope not, but objectively I really think it could.
I was thinking the same thing. While I hope it does not, was this not in part what hindered us in being accepted into FBS initially? Accepted by a conference? While it may be an unspoken reason, I have concerns it could plague our selection for a bowl. Hopefully, it's just unnecessary worry.....
It hindered us in finding a conference that would invite us because those decisions are made by college Presidents, who tend to be ivory tower academic lib-tards. Bowl selections are made by football people and corporate sponsors.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 30th, 2019, 9:51 pm
by Liberty22
oldflame wrote: September 30th, 2019, 5:44 am
rtb72 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 11:06 pm
JK37 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 10:53 am Something else that just occurred to me: could LU’s political/media baggage affect a bowl committee’s desire to select Liberty as a participant?

I hope not, but objectively I really think it could.
I was thinking the same thing. While I hope it does not, was this not in part what hindered us in being accepted into FBS initially? Accepted by a conference? While it may be an unspoken reason, I have concerns it could plague our selection for a bowl. Hopefully, it's just unnecessary worry.....
It hindered us in finding a conference that would invite us because those decisions are made by college Presidents, who tend to be ivory tower academic lib-tards. Bowl selections are made by football people and corporate sponsors.
Not to hijack this thread (my apologies) but I think it hinders our home attendance to a certain degree as well. So could it? Yes. Should it? No.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 30th, 2019, 10:19 pm
by rtb72
I was curious about the bowl schedule for 2019/20. I guess I had forgotten how many bowls there are now. Nevertheless, I noticed on the CBS site I reviewed that every single bowl has conference tie ins with the exception of the Cotton Bowl (both at-large). There are several conferences that have multiple tie ins with different bowls, i.e. SEC,ACC,PAC 12, etc. Based on what I saw from present records, most (if not all)every bowl would have tied in contenders from respective conferences for every bowl game. So I'm assuming that even with 7-5 or 8-4....even 9-3, hypothetically.....LU would not have a bowl unless one of the conferences tied to one of the bowls failed to reach 6-6?

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: September 30th, 2019, 10:31 pm
by Jonathan Carone
The only game we have a tie in with is the Cure Bowl. We could go 10-2 and still not have a guaranteed bowl game this year. That’s why the increase in bowl tie ins next year is huge.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 1st, 2019, 3:08 pm
by LUDad
oldflame wrote: September 30th, 2019, 5:44 am
rtb72 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 11:06 pm
JK37 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 10:53 am Something else that just occurred to me: could LU’s political/media baggage affect a bowl committee’s desire to select Liberty as a participant?

I hope not, but objectively I really think it could.
I was thinking the same thing. While I hope it does not, was this not in part what hindered us in being accepted into FBS initially? Accepted by a conference? While it may be an unspoken reason, I have concerns it could plague our selection for a bowl. Hopefully, it's just unnecessary worry.....
It hindered us in finding a conference that would invite us because those decisions are made by college Presidents, who tend to be ivory tower academic lib-tards. Bowl selections are made by football people and corporate sponsors.
Speaking to the corporate sponsor thing, would not suprise me to see LU approaching companies like Chick Fila for possible ad support to go their target bowl to enhance the selection process.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 1st, 2019, 6:27 pm
by CCWMichael
LUDad wrote: October 1st, 2019, 3:08 pm
oldflame wrote: September 30th, 2019, 5:44 am
rtb72 wrote: September 29th, 2019, 11:06 pm

I was thinking the same thing. While I hope it does not, was this not in part what hindered us in being accepted into FBS initially? Accepted by a conference? While it may be an unspoken reason, I have concerns it could plague our selection for a bowl. Hopefully, it's just unnecessary worry.....
It hindered us in finding a conference that would invite us because those decisions are made by college Presidents, who tend to be ivory tower academic lib-tards. Bowl selections are made by football people and corporate sponsors.
Speaking to the corporate sponsor thing, would not suprise me to see LU approaching companies like Chick Fila for possible ad support to go their target bowl to enhance the selection process.
If we were willing to pay 10mil to gain conference access nothing wuill surprise me.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 1st, 2019, 7:37 pm
by bigsmooth
we should finish 7-5. one game off my prediction. we will not beat BYU or UVA but Rutgers is starting to look promising.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 6th, 2019, 9:58 pm
by Kricket
Liberty projected to play UCF in Birmingham Bowl per the following link.

https://mweb.cbssports.com/ncaaf/bowls/predictions

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 6th, 2019, 10:40 pm
by Class of 20Something
I’d road trip for that.

A post New Years bowl is a HUGE DEAL.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 7:44 am
by ballcoach15
Birmingham would be good venue for a bowl.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 8:01 am
by Jonathan Carone
$205 round trip. I’ll take it.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 9:01 am
by LUAlum1215
Class of 20Something wrote: October 6th, 2019, 10:40 pm I’d road trip for that.

A post New Years bowl is a HUGE DEAL.
I’ll split gas with you.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 10:10 am
by BJWilliams
I'd come down from Portsmouth, meet you guys at Jon's house and caravan with you for that game if it happened

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 10:10 am
by Jonathan Carone
Ain't no one coming to my house.

There's also no way I'm driving to Birmingham if flights are only $205.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 10:11 am
by BJWilliams
Fine...but that definitely would be worth the trip.

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 11:13 am
by amar0819
https://www.espn.com/college-football/s ... e-football

ESPN has us at a 98% chance of going bowling!!!

Teams that have never bowled:

• Liberty (4-2): 98% chance of six-plus wins

Re: Road to a bowl game

Posted: October 7th, 2019, 11:28 am
by LUAlum1215
Jonathan Carone wrote: October 7th, 2019, 10:10 am Ain't no one coming to my house.

There's also no way I'm driving to Birmingham if flights are only $205.
Not sure where you are, but AA shows $328 from the ‘Burg as of this morning.