[thepostman]

Agreed. 7-5 would be considered a succuss in my mind.

[alabama24]

I agree, but remember: "projections" mean nothing. Winning games is all that matters. We are not guaranteed a "W" for any of the remaining games. To have expected to beat Rutgers was #RatPoison. To expect to beat UMass is #RatPoison.

[Jonathan Carone]

Chance We Will Win (as of 11/3)

BYU - 10.1% (+0.1%)
Virginia - 8.1% (+1.3%)
New Mexico State - 87.8% (+2.4%

Projected record: 7-5
Current FPI: 107 (+5)

And for Kricket, here's the percentage based record: 7.1-4.9.

[Jonathan Carone]

Interesting stats of this week:

Six Above Us
Middle Tennessee
Georgia Tech
UAB
Northern Illinois
Colorado State
Florida International

Six Below Us
Coastal Carolina
San Jose State
Miami (OH)
Kent State
Eastern Michigan
Charlotte

Our Opponents
Syracuse - 78
Lousiana - 52
Buffalo - 96
New Mexico - 120
New Mexico State - 123
Rutgers - 118
UMass - 130
BYU - 50
UVA - 34

Random Rankings
Strength of Record - 88
Offense Efficiency - 48
Defense Efficiency - 107
Special Teams Efficiency - 89

Average FPI of teams we beat: 118
Projected record of FBS teams we beat: 13-35

[Jonathan Carone]

Chance We Will Win (as of 11/14)

Virginia - 9.6% (+1.5%)
New Mexico State - 90.0% (+2.2%)

Projected record: 7-5
Current FPI: 103 (+4)

And for Kricket, here's the percentage based record: 7-5.

[Jonathan Carone]

Interesting stats of this week:

Six Above Us
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
Central Michigan
North Texas
Kansas
Middle Tennessee

Six Below Us
Miami (OH)
Northern Illinois
Colorado State
San Jose State
UAB
Florida International

Our Opponents
Syracuse - 80 (-2)
Lousiana - 39 (+13)
Buffalo - 91 (+5)
New Mexico - 119 (+1)
New Mexico State - 126 (-3)
Rutgers - 120 (-2)
UMass - 130 (still last)
BYU - 53 (-3)
UVA - 37 (-3)

Random Rankings
Strength of Record - 97 (-9)
Offense Efficiency - 47 (+1)
Defense Efficiency - 106 (+1)
Special Teams Efficiency - 90 (-1)

Average FPI of teams we beat: 116.5 (+1.5)
Projected record of FBS teams we beat: 12-36
Average record of FBS team we beat: 3-9