[thepostman]

Imagine how good we could be if the defense and special teams were at least respectable.

[Jonathan Carone]

Chance We Will Win (as of 10/23)

At UMass - 46% (+2.4%)
At UVA - 6.7% (-2.3%)
At Auburn - 2.7% (0.04%)
New Mexico State - 81.7% (-0.3%)
Norfolk State - 95.4% (+0.8%)

Projected record: 6-6

(Sorry for forgetting about this until now)

Current FPI ranking: 108

[Jonathan Carone]

One thing I wish I would've tracked more throughout the year is where we ranked on the FPI nationally. Thankfully ESPN has their archives listed so I could still pull it:

Preseason: 117
Week 1: 102
Week 2: 111
Week 3: 113
Week 4: 116
Week 5: 114
Week 6: 114
Week 7: 109
Week 8: 108

[thepostman]

LU has cracked the top 100 in some rankings as well.

[Jonathan Carone]

Team efficiencies are based on the point contributions of each unit to the team's scoring margin, on a per-play basis. The values are adjusted for strength of schedule and down-weighted for "garbage time" (based on win probability). The scale goes from 0 to 100; higher numbers are better and the average is roughly 50 for all categories. Efficiencies update daily during the season.

Offense - 41.1 (93rd)
Defense - 34.1 (103rd)
Special Teams - 32.4 (119th)
Overage - 31.5 (106th)

[Class of 20Something]

I don't know that I have shared this.

http://realtimerpi.com/college_football ... _Full.html

Real Time RPI is similar to Sagarin but I believe has a more accurate overlap of FBS and FCS. Liberty is ranked 87 on Real Time RPI.

[Cider Jim]

That puts LU almost 20 schools ahead of UMass.

[Kricket]

Bump, this predictor was relatively accurate as to our record. When JC posted after the win over ODU it had us at 6-6 and it appears the only games that were off were the games @New Mexico and @New Mexico State. The rest were nailed.