- August 27th, 2018, 10:09 am
#556077
prototype wrote:A realist telling it like it is. Like I said in another post,Coastal was 3-9 last year with an FCS win against Idaho (13-7). They had a dominant run in FCS, talent at most every position, and a verygood coach and still didn't win the number of games we are expecting to win. This coming from me who likes kool aid, kick-a-poo joy juice and even a little nectar of the gods.Jonathan Carone wrote:I want to be fair and make sure we're comparing apples to apples, so I went back and researched this further.I agree. I want us to be good right away, but I think little truly understand what this move means and how much more talented this level is compared to where we have been. We have had NO time to improve our roster to that level yet. In the past - we would have been happy to beat one FBS program every year - I'm not expecting us to run through this schedule, but actually take some pretty good beatings this year. We will need a different level of recruit at all positions, not just a few - to compete.
Of the 16 teams who transitioned before us, nine played their first FBS game vs a G5 while seven played their first FBS game vs a P5. Of the teams that played a G5 in their first game, the record was 4-5. So that trends better for us than the other numbers but still not great.
To go one step further, I looked at each team's first home game vs a G5 opponent. The overall record was 4-12 in that game.
Needless to say, a win on Saturday would be really, really impressive.
I hope we lose by less than 21 in this one.