A Sea Of Red

There's a website out there that allows you to trade events like you would trade stocks called intrade.com. Essentially, there is a price (up to $100) for a specific event to take place (Barack Obama to become president, for example). If it happens, you get $100. If it doesn't, you get zero. Right now, you can buy shares of Barack Obama becoming President for $59.

The site also lets you wager on each individual state race (Colorado to go to the Dems is at $60.4 a share, for example). In 2004, it was right for every state... So, I decided to run a little test and see who would win each individual state. I plugged those answers into a website called "270towin.com" for the electoral results... and this is what I got:

The Democrats, at this moment in time, will get 268 of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the nomination.
The Republicans, at this moment in time, will get 266 of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the nomination.

Four electoral votes are at large, because the two parties are tied at 46.0... that state is New Hampshire.

Get ready, folks. It's coming.

This site has gotten a great deal of attention this year for its accuracy in predicting the results. On the other hand it is under all types of investigations regarding the legality of Americans participating in an offshore operation.

So Ed Is trying to get us Arrested huh? Thanks Buddy!

I never advocated using this site to actually place a wager... I just used it as a reference for predicting the president. As far as I know, there is nothing as close to this site in terms of polling data for all 50 states. Pollster.com is pretty good, but some polls haven't been updated since February.