A Sea Of Red

You think NY is winnable for Trump?!

JK37 wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 4:50 am You think NY is winnable for Trump?!

Has a chance. Zeldin just got 47%. Reagan, 1984 got 53.84% to beat Mondale with 45.83%. Mondale was a better choice then than Biden is now.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_Un ... n_New_York

JK37 wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 4:50 am You think NY is winnable for Trump?!

Comedy hour on asor fka flamefans

New York Times/Sienna poll showing Biden leading Trump in New York by 10 points, where Biden won by 23 last time. If it is half right, Biden is in trouble.

Oh. You were serious.

I see a lot of chatter from Texas democrats thinking they can turn Texas blue. Which is equally as absurd.

There are plenty of states that Biden won in 2020 that Trump has a solid chance in winning. New York isn't close to being one of those.

TH Spangler wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 7:05 am

JK37 wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 4:50 am You think NY is winnable for Trump?!

Has a chance. Zeldin just got 47%. Reagan, 1984 got 53.84% to beat Mondale with 45.83%. Mondale was a better choice then than Biden is now.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_Un ... n_New_York

And Reagan was a much better choice than Trump. Much, much better.

flamehunter wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 9:50 am

TH Spangler wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 7:05 am

JK37 wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 4:50 am You think NY is winnable for Trump?!

Has a chance. Zeldin just got 47%. Reagan, 1984 got 53.84% to beat Mondale with 45.83%. Mondale was a better choice then than Biden is now.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_Un ... n_New_York

And Reagan was a much better choice than Trump. Much, much better.

True. But Reagan never received the % of minority and union member interest Trump is getting. 2% more black vote swings things wildly. And he's getting triple that. Unfortunately, I suspect the democrats will nearly start a race war to counter it. Sure hope not.

The Race War (Caste system) began full implementation in 2009 and has only accelerated under Biden, who is the lifeless puppet of the Obama regime. Ice Cream is a powerful weapon, when used properly.

A snowball has a better chance in h-e-double-hockey-sticks than Trump does of flipping New York. HOWEVER, IF (note the big if) Biden is only leading up there by 10 points, then a whole lot of states are going to flip red in November. I don't think it'll be a big landslide, but if the election were held today, I do think Trump flips Georgia, Wisconsin, and Michigan to win the presidency.

flamehunter wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 9:50 am

TH Spangler wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 7:05 am

JK37 wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 4:50 am You think NY is winnable for Trump?!

Has a chance. Zeldin just got 47%. Reagan, 1984 got 53.84% to beat Mondale with 45.83%. Mondale was a better choice then than Biden is now.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_Un ... n_New_York

And Reagan was a much better choice than Trump. Much, much better.

I was watching a doc about Reagan the other night. I had forgotten just how unliked he was early in his first term. Approval ratings were horrid.

Then he went on to win 49 out of 50 states.

ATrain wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 10:29 pm A snowball has a better chance in h-e-double-hockey-sticks than Trump does of flipping New York. HOWEVER, IF (note the big if) Biden is only leading up there by 10 points, then a whole lot of states are going to flip red in November. I don't think it'll be a big landslide, but if the election were held today, I do think Trump flips Georgia, Wisconsin, and Michigan to win the presidency.

The last 2 elections were decided by very small margins in a few States. I suspect we will see that again

If there is a debate, it probably should be between Trump and Harris. Or Trump and whomever is in charge now. The easter bunny maybe?

TH Spangler wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 1:37 pm If there is a debate, it probably should be between Trump and Harris. Or Trump and whomever is in charge now. The easter bunny maybe?

Obama would crush Trump in a debate. Be careful what you wish for

Purple Haize wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 2:10 pm

TH Spangler wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 1:37 pm If there is a debate, it probably should be between Trump and Harris. Or Trump and whomever is in charge now. The easter bunny maybe?

Obama would crush Trump in a debate. Be careful what you wish for

Was that Obama in the bunny costume?

With all the whistle blowers coming out, I don't think the democrats have anyone willing to replace Biden. A lot of rinos retiring for the same reason.

Chippy wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 10:25 am Then he went on to win 49 out of 50 states.

I’m a Reagan guy, but you and I both know that had as much to do or more with his opponent.

Purple Haize wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 1:01 pm

ATrain wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 10:29 pm A snowball has a better chance in h-e-double-hockey-sticks than Trump does of flipping New York. HOWEVER, IF (note the big if) Biden is only leading up there by 10 points, then a whole lot of states are going to flip red in November. I don't think it'll be a big landslide, but if the election were held today, I do think Trump flips Georgia, Wisconsin, and Michigan to win the presidency.

The last 2 elections were decided by very small margins in a few States. I suspect we will see that again

I agree. I just don’t think NY will be one of them.

JK37 wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 8:12 pm

Purple Haize wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 1:01 pm

ATrain wrote: ↑April 26th, 2024, 10:29 pm A snowball has a better chance in h-e-double-hockey-sticks than Trump does of flipping New York. HOWEVER, IF (note the big if) Biden is only leading up there by 10 points, then a whole lot of states are going to flip red in November. I don't think it'll be a big landslide, but if the election were held today, I do think Trump flips Georgia, Wisconsin, and Michigan to win the presidency.

The last 2 elections were decided by very small margins in a few States. I suspect we will see that again

I agree. I just don’t think NY will be one of them.

New York will still go Blue but that margin will be smaller than the historical norm. Same thing with Texas for Republicans

Purple Haize wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 9:34 pm

JK37 wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 8:12 pm

Purple Haize wrote: ↑April 27th, 2024, 1:01 pm

The last 2 elections were decided by very small margins in a few States. I suspect we will see that again

I agree. I just don’t think NY will be one of them.

New York will still go Blue but that margin will be smaller than the historical norm. Same thing with Texas for Republicans

Texas maybe smaller margins, but I think Donald Trump will win by a wider margin than Ted Cruz.

The swing states will decide the election just like they always do. Polling is favorable for Trump in nearly all of them. Democrats could end up kicking themselves for not forcing Biden's hand a bit more so a younger, stronger candidate could be the nominee. Or it's April and none of the polling really matters at this stage.

Trump isn't a strong candidate either but recency bias is hurting Biden.

Personally I can't wait until 2028 and a Biden/Trump free election cycle.

thepostman wrote: ↑April 28th, 2024, 10:15 am The swing states will decide the election just like they always do. Polling is favorable for Trump in nearly all of them. Democrats could end up kicking themselves for not forcing Biden's hand a bit more so a younger, stronger candidate could be the nominee. Or it's April and none of the polling really matters at this stage.

Trump isn't a strong candidate either but recency bias is hurting Biden.

Personally I can't wait until 2028 and a Biden/Trump free election cycle.

I'm just hoping to be able to vote for someone who is actually worthy of representing VA's 5th district in 2026.

ATrain wrote: ↑April 28th, 2024, 10:47 am

thepostman wrote: ↑April 28th, 2024, 10:15 am The swing states will decide the election just like they always do. Polling is favorable for Trump in nearly all of them. Democrats could end up kicking themselves for not forcing Biden's hand a bit more so a younger, stronger candidate could be the nominee. Or it's April and none of the polling really matters at this stage.

Trump isn't a strong candidate either but recency bias is hurting Biden.

Personally I can't wait until 2028 and a Biden/Trump free election cycle.

I'm just hoping to be able to vote for someone who is actually worthy of representing VA's 5th district in 2026.

I will again vote for whoever is running against our current Representative.

thepostman wrote: ↑April 28th, 2024, 10:15 am The swing states will decide the election just like they always do. Polling is favorable for Trump in nearly all of them. Democrats could end up kicking themselves for not forcing Biden's hand a bit more so a younger, stronger candidate could be the nominee. Or it's April and none of the polling really matters at this stage.

Trump isn't a strong candidate either but recency bias is hurting Biden.

Personally I can't wait until 2028 and a Biden/Trump free election cycle.

That’s where I am at. I was hoping that we’d have another candidate in the Republican column but here we are. I still believe that he’s unfortunately better then the other candidate so again….here we are

Purple Haize wrote: ↑April 28th, 2024, 12:10 pm

ATrain wrote: ↑April 28th, 2024, 10:47 am

thepostman wrote: ↑April 28th, 2024, 10:15 am The swing states will decide the election just like they always do. Polling is favorable for Trump in nearly all of them. Democrats could end up kicking themselves for not forcing Biden's hand a bit more so a younger, stronger candidate could be the nominee. Or it's April and none of the polling really matters at this stage.

Trump isn't a strong candidate either but recency bias is hurting Biden.

Personally I can't wait until 2028 and a Biden/Trump free election cycle.

I'm just hoping to be able to vote for someone who is actually worthy of representing VA's 5th district in 2026.

I will again vote for whoever is running against our current Representative.

I plan to do so on June 18, and again in November if necessary.

TH Spangler wrote: ↑June 30th, 2022, 11:01 am I'm hoping Tim Scott gets the VP call. A solid conservative black American that loves America. He has vision, did a great job on creating enterprise zones and working on sensible police reform.

Tim Scott for VP might happen. He's in Trumps final 4.