- November 5th, 2014, 11:29 am
#466448
Well, Gillespie lost to Warner last night, and certainly made it much closer than most anticipated. I personally thought Gillespie would lose by 3. I figured the race would come down to how much of Warner's support collapsed under the weight of the bribery scandal, not that they would support Gillespie, they simply wouldn't vote for Warner - and with Warner under-performing in several areas, it looks like this was the case.
But, that being that, let's look at how Lynchburg did comparing this year to last year. As some folks probably remember, last year I outlined how LUCR's utterly disappointing results at LU likely cost Mark Obenshain the AG race. In May, I outlined how poorly the GOP backed candidates did in Lynchburg - including (specifically) at LU. Yesterday is more of the same for 2014 Republicans in Lynchburg.
Sorry the whole image isn't showing for whatever reason. I resized it but it's being bad. At any rate, by every meaningful statistic, Lynchburg's Republicans didn't do as well as they did last year, and with roughly 12,350 votes being the difference in the race, Lynchburg's drop in margin accounts for 2.97% of that deficit. Oops. The LUCR's account for 10% of that drop in margin for Lynchburg. The College Democrats on the other hand, well, they're the flip side of that coin at LU. As bad as 2013 was for the LU College Republicans in likely costing VA the AG race, 2014 was even worse in terms of raw numbers.
But, that being that, let's look at how Lynchburg did comparing this year to last year. As some folks probably remember, last year I outlined how LUCR's utterly disappointing results at LU likely cost Mark Obenshain the AG race. In May, I outlined how poorly the GOP backed candidates did in Lynchburg - including (specifically) at LU. Yesterday is more of the same for 2014 Republicans in Lynchburg.
Sorry the whole image isn't showing for whatever reason. I resized it but it's being bad. At any rate, by every meaningful statistic, Lynchburg's Republicans didn't do as well as they did last year, and with roughly 12,350 votes being the difference in the race, Lynchburg's drop in margin accounts for 2.97% of that deficit. Oops. The LUCR's account for 10% of that drop in margin for Lynchburg. The College Democrats on the other hand, well, they're the flip side of that coin at LU. As bad as 2013 was for the LU College Republicans in likely costing VA the AG race, 2014 was even worse in terms of raw numbers.
- By rtb72