A Sea Of Red

Boulder is full of conservative right-wing extremist.

http://www.examiner.com/article/univers ... ntial-race

The model has nothing to do with the people of Boulder, it's correctly picked the last 8 President's retroactively, and it has never been used to predict a President before the election. Still, with the information it's based on, it will be very interesting to see if the trends of the last 30+ years hold up.

I was obviously being sarcastic. It has been a very accurate tool. But people always try to place political discussions into a box. Right or Left. It was my futile attempt at humor.

The most recent AP poll has some interesting info in it.

Obama's lead is now 47-46, wich is down from 47-44 a couple weeks ago. They also admit that the Democrat sample went from +5% to +8% in the two polls, meaning the Democrats are oversampled by quite a bit.

The number I found most interesting is that while the race is a virtual tie, 58% believe Obama will win, compared to only 32% believing Romney will become president. Hummm, I wonder if the media telling us over and over every day that Romney has no shot has anything to do with that result?

Pretty bad for the liberals if their own press puts this out. Keep up the fight!

I have doubts Romney will win. We haven't had a one-term President since the first Bush and Jimmy Carter was one of the worst presidents ever and ran one of the worst reelection campaigns that a president could ever possibly run. Even with as much hate as Bush drew, which was a monumental amount of hate, even he still managed to get reelected somehow. But I'll take this as a positive sign.

The fear of most conservatives is that polls like this will keep them from rallying to the polls. It is is better in a close race the think the other side has the edge. It encourages more folks to get out and make their vote count.

jmdickens wrote:I was obviously being sarcastic. It has been a very accurate tool. But people always try to place political discussions into a box. Right or Left. It was my futile attempt at humor.

I'm not sure how it qualifies as a very accurate tool when it's brand new. It's never predicted anything, except retroactively, as it's been built in the last couple of years based off of past factors in elections.

Liberty Rules wrote:Pretty bad for the liberals if their own press puts this out. Keep up the fight!

They're doing it to try and ignite the Democratic base.

This thread is funny.

I agree with the University of Colorado, though. I think this one is Romney's to lose.

Ever since the Ryan announcement, Romney has seen a slight bump up in the polls in the battleground states.

However, I would add those are just disgruntled Republicans finding their way back to the herd.

NotAJerry wrote:

jmdickens wrote:I was obviously being sarcastic. It has been a very accurate tool. But people always try to place political discussions into a box. Right or Left. It was my futile attempt at humor.

I'm not sure how it qualifies as a very accurate tool when it's brand new. It's never predicted anything, except retroactively, as it's been built in the last couple of years based off of past factors in elections.

I agree, but people don't change as fast as we would like. We tend to avoid change in our habits. So I would place some weight on this study as being fairly accurate until the model doesn't support its ultimate conclusion. If it can predict 8 presidential victories, that is a good reason to trust the study.