[jmdickens]

Boulder is full of conservative right-wing extremist.

http://www.examiner.com/article/univers ... ntial-race

[NotAJerry]

The model has nothing to do with the people of Boulder, it's correctly picked the last 8 President's retroactively, and it has never been used to predict a President before the election. Still, with the information it's based on, it will be very interesting to see if the trends of the last 30+ years hold up.

[jmdickens]

I was obviously being sarcastic. It has been a very accurate tool. But people always try to place political discussions into a box. Right or Left. It was my futile attempt at humor.

[01LUGrad]

The most recent AP poll has some interesting info in it.

Obama's lead is now 47-46, wich is down from 47-44 a couple weeks ago. They also admit that the Democrat sample went from +5% to +8% in the two polls, meaning the Democrats are oversampled by quite a bit.

The number I found most interesting is that while the race is a virtual tie, 58% believe Obama will win, compared to only 32% believing Romney will become president. Hummm, I wonder if the media telling us over and over every day that Romney has no shot has anything to do with that result?

[Liberty Rules]

Pretty bad for the liberals if their own press puts this out. Keep up the fight!

[lynchburgwildcats]

I have doubts Romney will win. We haven't had a one-term President since the first Bush and Jimmy Carter was one of the worst presidents ever and ran one of the worst reelection campaigns that a president could ever possibly run. Even with as much hate as Bush drew, which was a monumental amount of hate, even he still managed to get reelected somehow. But I'll take this as a positive sign.

[Sly Fox]

The fear of most conservatives is that polls like this will keep them from rallying to the polls. It is is better in a close race the think the other side has the edge. It encourages more folks to get out and make their vote count.

[NotAJerry]

I was obviously being sarcastic. It has been a very accurate tool. But people always try to place political discussions into a box. Right or Left. It was my futile attempt at humor.

I'm not sure how it qualifies as a very accurate tool when it's brand new. It's never predicted anything, except retroactively, as it's been built in the last couple of years based off of past factors in elections.

[jbock13]

Pretty bad for the liberals if their own press puts this out. Keep up the fight!

They're doing it to try and ignite the Democratic base.

[El Scorcho]

This thread is funny.

I agree with the University of Colorado, though. I think this one is Romney's to lose.

[jbock13]

Ever since the Ryan announcement, Romney has seen a slight bump up in the polls in the battleground states.

However, I would add those are just disgruntled Republicans finding their way back to the herd.

[jmdickens]

I was obviously being sarcastic. It has been a very accurate tool. But people always try to place political discussions into a box. Right or Left. It was my futile attempt at humor.

I'm not sure how it qualifies as a very accurate tool when it's brand new. It's never predicted anything, except retroactively, as it's been built in the last couple of years based off of past factors in elections.

I agree, but people don't change as fast as we would like. We tend to avoid change in our habits. So I would place some weight on this study as being fairly accurate until the model doesn't support its ultimate conclusion. If it can predict 8 presidential victories, that is a good reason to trust the study.