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Electoral College predictions

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 3:58 pm
by SumItUp
With less than 2 months until the election, it is time to start collecting predictions about the Presidential Elections. There are a total of 538 electors. 270 are needed for victory. Personally, I disagree with President Clinton's statement that Obama will win "pretty handily". Make your picks!


McCain/Palin - 321
Obama/Biden - 217

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 4:19 pm
by vastrightwinger
I wish I were as optimistic as you. I think McCain wins but by a lesser margin.

McCain/Palin -- 279
Obama/Biden -- 259

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 4:31 pm
by RubberMallet
obama 281
mccain 257

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 4:44 pm
by flamesbball84
mccain 275
osama 263

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 4:49 pm
by Schfourteenteen
Neither of them hit 275

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 4:50 pm
by Schfourteenteen
Al Gore then wins by default, because he can invent world peace

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 8:34 pm
by 01LUGrad
WAAAYYYY too early to call on this one. Who knows what will happen in the next 7 weeks?

Of course, a "Macaca Moment" (by the way, how do you spell that anyway?) by Obama wouldn't hurt him as much as it would McCain due to the media being in the tank for the Great King already.

Posted: September 12th, 2008, 9:18 pm
by SumItUp
01LUGrad wrote:WAAAYYYY too early to call on this one. Who knows what will happen in the next 7 weeks?
That's the idea of selecting now. Have you ever been to Vegas? 8)

Posted: September 13th, 2008, 8:38 pm
by Hold My Own
Schfourteenteen wrote:Al Gore then wins by default, because he invented the internet

FTFY

Re: Electoral College predictions

Posted: September 13th, 2008, 9:19 pm
by Hold My Own
SumItUp wrote:With less than 2 months until the election, it is time to start collecting predictions about the Presidential Elections. There are a total of 538 electors. 270 are needed for victory. Personally, I disagree with President Clinton's statement that Obama will win "pretty handily". Make your picks!


McCain/Palin - 321
Obama/Biden - 217


I trust your opinion...and to see you give Mccain that big of a win is reassuring to me....but do you really think it's going to be THAT big?

Posted: September 13th, 2008, 9:31 pm
by Kolzilla41
I think it's way too early to start counting on the EC votes. There is about a month and a half. Who knows what scandals could arise by then?

Posted: September 13th, 2008, 10:24 pm
by 01LUGrad
Speaking of scandals, does anyone else think the media is overplaying their "destroy Palin at all costs" hand here? If they would focus on one fabricated scandal at a time instead of trying to break five stories every day (check cnn.com periodically to see what I mean), they would do more to thwart McC/Palin's effort. Instead, all of these allegations are basically background noise. The lefties' ability to get it together with the media will determine the resident at 1600 PA.

Posted: September 13th, 2008, 11:23 pm
by Hold My Own
01LUGrad wrote:Speaking of scandals, does anyone else think the media is overplaying their "destroy Palin at all costs" hand here? If they would focus on one fabricated scandal at a time instead of trying to break five stories every day (check cnn.com periodically to see what I mean), they would do more to thwart McC/Palin's effort. Instead, all of these allegations are basically background noise. The lefties' ability to get it together with the media will determine the resident at 1600 PA.


It's actually turning into a laughing fest for anyone without Kool-aid in the glass (of any flavor)....but this is great....Obama is feeling the heat from Palin and starting to engage her....anyone remember Kerry/Chenney? Kerry started to engage the VP rather then worry about running his race and ended up costing him the seat in the oval office

Posted: September 14th, 2008, 7:31 am
by PastorZack
I think this could be a 271-269 ec vote....it might even come down to nebraska or maine splitting its ec votes

Posted: September 14th, 2008, 6:27 pm
by Ed Dantes
Obama: 273
McCain: 265

Posted: September 14th, 2008, 6:38 pm
by Hold My Own
Ed Dantes wrote:Obama: 273
McCain: 265



BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted: September 16th, 2008, 9:48 pm
by Ed Dantes
The recent spike in Mccain polls is only going to be temporary. the media is going to keep piling on and piling on for the next 50 days, until the election. They've already picked sides. Everytime someone farts its going to be blamed on the Bush administration and John McCain.

The Obama supporters are going to become more radicalized as they see their victory slipping through the cracks (maybe 'energized' is the right word). They're no longer complacent. Obama's old friends back at ACORN, the second-most notorious vote-riggers organization in recent history, and Obama's friends in Chicago, the first-most notorious vote-riggers in recent history, are preparing for battle.

Everyone knows the election will come down to 5 states: Colorado, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Michigan. Whoever wins the election wins three of those states. Colorado has a well-funded left-wing machine and will probably turn blue this year. Virginia will probably be in McCain's camp, although Obama will be helped tremendously by the candidacy of Democrat Mark Warner on the ballot. Michigan will probably go to Obama. If McCain is lucky, he'll take Ohio.

That leaves Pennsylvania. That's where Obama saw his candidacy slide during the primaries (Obama thinks they're bitter religious gun nuts). But that's why he added Joe Biden, born in Scranton, to the ticket. I don't know if McCain can pull it off.

I think McCain peaked. God, let me be wrong, but I think it's downhill from here.

Still, the debates will be critical. This one ain't over yet...

Posted: September 16th, 2008, 10:10 pm
by flamesbball84
Ed Dantes wrote:The recent spike in Mccain polls is only going to be temporary. the media is going to keep piling on and piling on for the next 50 days, until the election. They've already picked sides. Everytime someone farts its going to be blamed on the Bush administration and John McCain.

The Obama supporters are going to become more radicalized as they see their victory slipping through the cracks (maybe 'energized' is the right word). They're no longer complacent. Obama's old friends back at ACORN, the second-most notorious vote-riggers organization in recent history, and Obama's friends in Chicago, the first-most notorious vote-riggers in recent history, are preparing for battle.

Everyone knows the election will come down to 5 states: Colorado, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Michigan. Whoever wins the election wins three of those states. Colorado has a well-funded left-wing machine and will probably turn blue this year. Virginia will probably be in McCain's camp, although Obama will be helped tremendously by the candidacy of Democrat Mark Warner on the ballot. Michigan will probably go to Obama. If McCain is lucky, he'll take Ohio.

That leaves Pennsylvania. That's where Obama saw his candidacy slide during the primaries (Obama thinks they're bitter religious gun nuts). But that's why he added Joe Biden, born in Scranton, to the ticket. I don't know if McCain can pull it off.

I think McCain peaked. God, let me be wrong, but I think it's downhill from here.

Still, the debates will be critical. This one ain't over yet...
you can just as easily say obama has peaked too...

Posted: September 17th, 2008, 8:07 am
by Ed Dantes
flamesbball84 wrote:
you can just as easily say obama has peaked too...
Except you have to take into consideration that, all things being equal, the Democrats should be creaming the GOP right now. When you consider that the GOP has presided over an unpopular war and poor economic news, coupled with the natural inclination of the voters to toss out the party in power after so many years, you should see that the Democrats should naturally be up by a few points. Eventually, you'll see the regression to the mean.

Posted: September 17th, 2008, 10:03 am
by fan00
Call me crazy-but is it possible the media is talking about McCain's rise in the polls only to convince Obama supporters that their vote really DOES matter, and thus entice them to actually get out and vote?

Posted: September 17th, 2008, 10:44 am
by SumItUp
fan00 wrote:Call me crazy-but is it possible the media is talking about McCain's rise in the polls only to convince Obama supporters that their vote really DOES matter, and thus entice them to actually get out and vote?
Crazy

Posted: September 17th, 2008, 11:03 am
by adam42381
Obama/Biden - 281
McCain/Palin - 257

Posted: September 17th, 2008, 12:15 pm
by ALUmnus

Posted: September 17th, 2008, 1:18 pm
by Ed Dantes
ALUmnus wrote:Good read on just this very topic:

http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/09/ ... es_ar.html
Did you see comment #1?
Forget all the scenarios!! There is only one scenario. The democrats will automatically produce 100,000- or 300,000-vote margin to win battleground states such as Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado.

Expect massive voter fraud in those states.
Before you say 'how can you be so cynical?, well, check elsewhere on the page:

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/200 ... gai_1.html

That ACORN organization, by the way, is who Obama used to work for during his 'community organizer' days.

Posted: September 17th, 2008, 3:41 pm
by flamesbball84