Moderators: jcmanson, Sly Fox, BuryYourDuke
ATrain wrote:I say I'm going to be disappointed at the severity level of the weather this weekend. The vast majority of the forecast models indicate that Sandy is going to head out to sea towards Bermuda.The GFS remains the only major model going out to sea. This is because it blows up an eastern Atlantic low, which is the wrong interpretation by the model. The trough over Greenland will force it back inland, as I see it right now.
jbock13 wrote:I'm sorry, what? I just dozed off a bit. I'll be running to WalMart and stocking up on bacon. So long as it is nice on FridayATrain wrote:I say I'm going to be disappointed at the severity level of the weather this weekend. The vast majority of the forecast models indicate that Sandy is going to head out to sea towards Bermuda.The GFS remains the only major model going out to sea. This is because it blows up an eastern Atlantic low, which is the wrong interpretation by the model. The trough over Greenland will force it back inland, as I see it right now.
NotAJerry wrote:http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/cap ... #pagebreakWhich is exactly everything I just said.
Everything other than the GFS model is pushing this storm farther west which could end up being a doozy for the east coast. Obviously it's still early, and things are still looking more impactful for the northeast than mid-atlantic, but this could end up being an interesting one to follow in a few days.
jbock13 wrote:But since you are an non Christian blow hard he has you on ignore and misses these pearls of wisdom!NotAJerry wrote:http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/cap ... #pagebreakWhich is exactly everything I just said.
Everything other than the GFS model is pushing this storm farther west which could end up being a doozy for the east coast. Obviously it's still early, and things are still looking more impactful for the northeast than mid-atlantic, but this could end up being an interesting one to follow in a few days.
jbock13 wrote:I'll be respectful to him when he makes a good point. We all should.He may be incapable of recognizing your ( or mine) ability to make a cogent point. Your heathen blowhardedness gets in the way. That or the ignore button.
jbock13 wrote: Ultimately we 'll see.You can't play that card. Stand by your prediction, man. You started this, FINISH IT!!!
ALUmnus wrote:Just trying to weasel my way out of this if I'm wrongjbock13 wrote: Ultimately we 'll see.You can't play that card. Stand by your prediction, man. You started this, FINISH IT!!!
flamehunter wrote:Just be careful what you say, jbock, they may read this in Italy. You will be held liable if you are wrong.All idiocy begins in Europe!
http://www.weather.com/news/italy-earth ... l-20121021
ATrain wrote:Yeah, other than the Euro model Sandy is going out to sea. I doubt any repeats of last year's "Snowtober."But you're wrong. And I think now snow will be confined to western PA and NY.
jbock13 wrote:That's why I don't live there any more. Safest weather forecast for that area from november through march is "snow likely". I remember trick or treating in the snow more than once. And I mean several inches or more.ATrain wrote:Yeah, other than the Euro model Sandy is going out to sea. I doubt any repeats of last year's "Snowtober."But you're wrong. And I think now snow will be confined to western PA and NY.
01LUGrad wrote:The European model is pretty terrifying for Hampton Roads right now. Almost a worst-case scenario.Yes. Have your emergency plans ready. I don't think you'll get a direct hit, but power outages are likely.
ATrain wrote:According to WAVY-10 this morning, 30% chance of "worst case scenario." May see some wind and rain, but I doubt its going to be awful.They're going off the GFS still obviously. Which happens to be the only model showing this as no big deal. While it won't make direct impact, 4 inches of rain and 50mph winds will be a problem. Because they keep using the pet GFS model, they won't see that.
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